Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
62.8% ( 0.28) | 21.1% ( -0.15) | 16.1% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 50.43% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.28% ( 0.41) | 45.71% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.96% ( 0.39) | 68.03% ( -0.39) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.05% ( 0.22) | 13.94% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.58% ( 0.43) | 41.41% ( -0.43) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.59% ( 0.08) | 41.4% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.09% ( 0.07) | 77.91% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 62.79% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |