Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.