Scottish Championship | Gameweek 31

Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
2 - 0
Ayr

Hilson (27'), Gold (60')
Gold (46'), Tait (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ashford (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Queen's Park 0-1 Arbroath
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 3-0 Cove Rangers
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Ayr United
32.3% ( 0.01)	25.74% ( 0)	41.96% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.26% (

-0.01)

49.74% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.25% (

-0.01)

71.75% (

0.02)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99% (

29.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09% (

-0)

64.91% (

0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47% (

-0.01)

23.53% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.43% (

-0.01)

57.57% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 32.3%

Ayr United 41.96%

Draw 25.74%

Arbroath	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.3%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 41.96%