Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Queen's Park |
50.57% ( -2.15) | 23.95% ( 0.57) | 25.48% ( 1.58) |
Both teams to score 55.66% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.12% ( -1.03) | 45.88% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.81% ( -0.98) | 68.19% ( 0.98) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% ( -1.19) | 18.18% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.82% ( -2.07) | 49.17% ( 2.06) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( 0.76) | 31.97% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.57% ( 0.86) | 68.43% ( -0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Queen's Park |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.57% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |