Scottish Cup | Final

Jun 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Hampden Park

Celtic
3 - 1
Inverness

Furuhashi (38'), Abada (65'), Jota (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

MacKay (84')
Carson (44'), Duffy (70')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Celtic and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Celtic 5-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, May 27 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

114

Top scorers

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Inverness 1-2 Ayr
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celtic 4-1 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Celtic are understandably the firm favourites to come out on top and clinch another domestic treble, but a well-rested and fired-up Inverness outfit cannot be entirely written off this weekend. The potential absence of Furuhashi would be a major blow for the Hoops, but they have several other attacking threats that should be capable of firing Postecoglou's side to a comfortable victory at Hampden Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 85.82%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 4.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 4-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
85.82% ( 0.13)	9.62% ( 0.01)	4.56% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 45.92% (

-1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.58% (

-0.98)

26.41% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.25% (

-1.26)

46.74% (

1.26)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.83% (

-0.14)

4.17% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.58% (

-0.46)

17.42% (

0.46)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.92% (

-1.42)

52.08% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.94% (

-0.95)

86.06% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Celtic 85.82%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 4.56%

Draw 9.62%

Celtic	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
3-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.44) 4-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.14) 6-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.13) 7-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) 7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.57% Total : 85.82%	1-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.61% Total : 9.62%	1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 4.56%