Scottish Cup | Semi-Finals

Apr 29, 2023 at 12.15pm UK

Hampden Park, Glasgow

Falkirk
0 - 3
Inverness

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mckay (7' pen., 57'), MacKay (34')
Deas (45+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Falkirk and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Alloa 1-4 Falkirk
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Inverness 1-1 Dundee
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Falkirk 1-2 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

A closely-fought semi-final contest is set to be played out between two teams who will be desperate to book their place in the final, but with Inverness boasting slightly better form heading into Saturday's clash, we believe that the second-tier side will edge out their third-tier counterparts to set up a showdown with either Celtic or Rangers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Falkirk	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
45.3% ( -0)	24.87% ( -0)	29.84% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.03% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

0.02)

46.95% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

0.02)

69.2% (

-0.03)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22% (

0.01)

20.78% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.57% (

0.02)

53.43% (

-0.02)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

0.02)

29.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77% (

0.02)

65.23% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Falkirk 45.3%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.84%

Draw 24.86%

Falkirk	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.3%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.84%