Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
29.78% ( 0.11) | 24.45% ( 0.03) | 45.77% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.85% ( -0.07) | 45.15% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.5% ( -0.06) | 67.5% ( 0.07) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.6% ( 0.04) | 28.4% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.85% ( 0.05) | 64.15% ( -0.05) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.16% ( -0.08) | 19.84% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.07% ( -0.13) | 51.93% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |