Scottish League One | Gameweek 34
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
Alloa1 - 4Falkirk
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Falkirk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-1 Alloa
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 1-2 Edinburgh
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
29.78% ( 0.11) | 24.45% ( 0.03) | 45.77% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( -0.07) | 45.15% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( -0.06) | 67.5% ( 0.07) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( 0.04) | 28.4% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.85% ( 0.05) | 64.15% ( -0.05) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( -0.08) | 19.84% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.07% ( -0.13) | 51.93% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic 29.78%
Falkirk 45.77%
Draw 24.45%
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.77% |
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
