Scottish League One | Gameweek 34

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Recreation Park

Alloa
1 - 4
Falkirk

Scougall (55' pen.)
Durnan (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

McKay (9'), Kennedy (15'), Henderson (58', 66')
Donaldson (45'), Henderson (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-1 Alloa
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Falkirk

All competitions

Last Game: Falkirk 1-2 Edinburgh
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
29.78% ( 0.11)	24.45% ( 0.03)	45.77% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 57.39% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.85% (

-0.07)

45.15% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.5% (

-0.06)

67.5% (

0.07)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.6% (

0.04)

28.4% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.85% (

0.05)

64.15% (

-0.05)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16% (

-0.08)

19.84% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.07% (

-0.13)

51.93% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 29.78%

Falkirk 45.77%

Draw 24.45%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.78%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.77%