Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
48.03% ( 0.06) | 25.76% ( -0.01) | 26.21% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.17% ( 0.01) | 52.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.55% ( 0.01) | 74.45% ( -0.01) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% ( 0.03) | 22.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.68% ( 0.05) | 55.32% ( -0.05) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.9% ( -0.04) | 35.1% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.15% ( -0.04) | 71.85% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 26.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |