MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:43:15| >> :600:190778:190778:
Ayr United
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Alloa Athletic

Ayr
6 - 0
Alloa

Bryden (14', 62'), McAllister (37'), Murphy (45+1'), Pendlebury (70'), Rose (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Hetherington (73')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Ayr United and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Ayr
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-3 Alloa
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawAlloa Athletic
64.18% (-0.238 -0.24) 21.01% (0.095000000000002 0.1) 14.82% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 47.73% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (-0.117 -0.12)47.76% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (-0.108 -0.11)69.95% (0.10900000000001 0.11)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.83% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)14.17% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.13% (-0.217 -0.22)41.87% (0.218 0.22)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.61% (0.134 0.13)44.38% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.56% (0.107 0.11)80.44% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 64.17%
    Alloa Athletic 14.82%
    Draw 21.01%
Ayr UnitedDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 12.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.82% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.82% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 64.17%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.01%
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.08% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 14.82%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Alloa
2-2
Ayr
Cameron (31'), Williamson (46')
Dick (59')
Walsh (15'), Robertson (76' og.)
Baird (26'), Moffat (34'), Barjonas (90+3')
> Match Report
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Ayr
4-1
Alloa
Walsh (6'), McCowan (30', 69'), Muirhead (62' pen.)
Trouten (11')
Lynch (59'), Hetherington (61'), Cameron (67'), Jamieson (84')
> Match Report
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Alloa
0-2
Ayr

Trouten (90+2')
McCowan (38'), Murdoch (60')
Smith (37'), Chalmers (74')
Smith (84')
> Match Report
Apr 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 33
Ayr
P-P
Alloa
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Alloa
0-2
Ayr

Thomson (13'), Hetherington (62')
Bell (9'), Forrest (82')
Harvie (73')
> Match Report
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