Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
6 - 0
Alloa

Bryden (14', 62'), McAllister (37'), Murphy (45+1'), Pendlebury (70'), Rose (84')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Hetherington (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Ayr United and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Ayr
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-3 Alloa
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Alloa Athletic
64.18% ( -0.24)	21.01% ( 0.1)	14.82% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 47.73% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.24% (

-0.12)

47.76% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.05% (

-0.11)

69.95% (

0.11)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.83% (

-0.11)

14.17% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.13% (

-0.22)

41.87% (

0.22)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.61% (

0.13)

44.38% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.56% (

0.11)

80.44% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 64.17%

Alloa Athletic 14.82%

Draw 21.01%

Ayr United	Draw	Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 64.17%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.01%	0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 14.82%