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Alloa Athletic
Scottish Championship Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Hamilton logo

Alloa
1 - 0
Hamilton

Donnelly (45+2')
Miller (63'), Buchanan (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Reilly (85')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Alloa Athletic and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Alloa 0-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Hamilton
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawHamilton Academical
39.8%26.13%34.07%
Both teams to score 53.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04%50.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17%72.83%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82%25.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1%59.9%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52%28.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75%64.24%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 39.8%
    Hamilton Academical 34.07%
    Draw 26.13%
Alloa AthleticDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.01%
1-2 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.07%

How you voted: Alloa vs Hamilton

Alloa Athletic
38.5%
Draw
30.8%
Hamilton Academical
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Second Round
Hamilton
4-1
Alloa
Andreu (17'), Canning (66'), Longridge (81'), Brophy (87')
Spence (40')
rhs 2.0
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