Scottish Championship | Gameweek 30

Apr 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock

Morton
2 - 0
Hamilton

Gillespie (54'), King (66')
Muirhead (77'), King (77'), Muirhead (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Reilly (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Morton
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Hamilton 1-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Hamilton Academical
46.02% ( 0.28)	25.38% ( -0.05)	28.6% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 53.57% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.18% (

0.08)

49.82% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.18% (

0.07)

71.82% (

-0.07)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.16)

21.65% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

0.25)

54.78% (

-0.25)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38% (

-0.13)

31.63% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

-0.15)

68.04% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 46.01%

Hamilton Academical 28.6%

Draw 25.38%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.01%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.6%