Scottish League One | Gameweek 36
May 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
Alloa0 - 2Dunfermline
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Dunfermline Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montrose 0-4 Alloa
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-1 Clyde
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
25.38% ( 1.1) | 23.42% ( 0.27) | 51.2% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( -0.18) | 43.63% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( -0.17) | 66.02% ( 0.17) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.8) | 30.85% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.86% ( 0.93) | 67.13% ( -0.93) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( -0.56) | 17.1% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.69% ( -1) | 47.3% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic 25.38%
Dunfermline Athletic 51.2%
Draw 23.41%
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.9% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.2% |
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Apr 30, 2021 7.45pm
Form Guide
