Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Indodrill Stadium

Alloa
1 - 2
Stirling

Coulson (62')
Rodden (45+1'), McKay (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McLean (75'), Carrick (88' pen.)
Leitch (22'), Banner (61'), Thomson (62'), McGregor (84'), McLean (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Alloa Athletic and Stirling Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Hamilton 5-2 Alloa
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Goals
for

Stirling Albion

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Stirling 1-1 Ayr (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Stirling Albion
31.42% ( -0.1)	25.7% ( 0.13)	42.88% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.08% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15% (

-0.56)

49.85% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15% (

-0.5)

71.85% (

0.51)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

-0.34)

29.65% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3% (

-0.42)

65.7% (

0.43)

Stirling Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

-0.25)

23.13% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

-0.38)

56.98% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 31.42%

Stirling Albion 42.87%

Draw 25.69%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Stirling Albion
1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.42%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.87%