Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
40.57% ( -0.1) | 25.86% ( -0.04) | 33.58% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.3% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.09% ( 0.19) | 49.91% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.1% ( 0.17) | 71.9% ( -0.17) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( 0.03) | 24.3% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( 0.05) | 58.68% ( -0.05) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% ( 0.18) | 28.27% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% ( 0.22) | 63.99% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |