Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundee United in this match.