Scottish League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
New Central Park
Kelty Hearts3 - 1QotS
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Queen of the South.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-5 Falkirk
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 1-2 Hamilton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
36.2% ( 0.04) | 25.67% ( -0.01) | 38.14% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( 0.06) | 48.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( 0.05) | 70.82% ( -0.05) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.06) | 26.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.81% ( 0.07) | 61.19% ( -0.07) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( 0.01) | 25.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.29% ( 0.02) | 59.72% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts 36.2%
Queen of the South 38.14%
Draw 25.66%
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.14% |
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 3pm
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
