Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.