Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ainslie Park Stadium

Edinburgh
3 - 5
Kelty Hearts

Mercer (4'), McLean (7', 20')
Mercer (33'), Murray (59')

FT(HT: 3-3)

Johnston (27', 49'), Daramola (42', 45+3'), Cunningham (54')
McCluskey (50'), Tidser (51'), Daramola (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Edinburgh City and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Edinburgh City

All competitions

Last Game: Edinburgh 1-4 Airdrieonians
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Morton
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 45%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh City	Draw	Kelty Hearts
32.26% ( -0.01)	22.74% ( 0.01)	45% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 64.92% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.16% (

-0.08)

35.83% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.08% (

-0.09)

57.91% (

0.09)

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7% (

-0.04)

22.29% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.24% (

-0.07)

55.75% (

0.07)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

-0.03)

16.45% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.85% (

-0.06)

46.14% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Edinburgh City 32.26%

Kelty Hearts 45%

Draw 22.74%

Edinburgh City	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 32.26%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.74%	1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 45%