Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Arbroath |
40.16% ( 0.14) | 24.65% ( -0.01) | 35.19% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 58.81% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( 0.02) | 44.22% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% ( 0.02) | 66.6% ( -0.02) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% ( 0.08) | 22% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.68% ( 0.12) | 55.32% ( -0.12) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% ( -0.07) | 24.61% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.9% ( -0.09) | 59.11% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Arbroath |
2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |