Scottish Championship | Gameweek 13

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Penny Cars Stadium

Airdrieonians
2 - 0
Arbroath

McStravick (19'), McGregor (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Rangers U21s 2-4 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Arbroath 1-3 Partick
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Arbroath
40.16% ( 0.14)	24.65% ( -0.01)	35.19% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 58.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78% (

0.02)

44.22% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4% (

0.02)

66.6% (

-0.02)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

0.08)

22% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68% (

0.12)

55.32% (

-0.12)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

-0.07)

24.61% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.9% (

-0.09)

59.11% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 40.16%

Arbroath 35.19%

Draw 24.65%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Arbroath
2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.16%	1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65%	1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.19%