Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.