Caernarfon

2 - 4

Pen-y-Bont

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.