Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon5 - 1Cardiff MU
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Newtown
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
31.21% ( -0.01) | 24.67% ( 0.02) | 44.12% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.42% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
