Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth1 - 3New Saints
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and The New Saints.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-3 Bala Town
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: New Saints 4-1 Arbroath
Saturday, November 18 at 2.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Saturday, November 18 at 2.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Goals
for
for
53
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 87.81%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 3.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 0-4 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | The New Saints |
3.51% ( -0.19) | 8.67% ( -0.37) | 87.81% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 40.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
