Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-3 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.