MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:23:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Owen (45+1')
Kirkman (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (41')
Disney (71')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 30 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
16.51% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 20.63%62.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.88% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1%42.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7%65.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)75.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)13.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 16.51%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 62.85%
    Draw 20.63%
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 16.51%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.63%
0-2 @ 10.6%
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 7.2% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.16%
2-4 @ 1.61%
0-5 @ 1.49%
1-5 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 62.85%

How you voted: Aberystwyth vs Connah's Quay

Aberystwyth Town
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Connah's Quay Nomads
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
4-0
Aberystwyth
Williams (23', 45+1'), Bratley (29'), Davies (38' pen.)
Bratley (61'), Franklin (90+4')
Bratley (69')

Yahaya (45+3'), Darlington (76'), Cornish (90+3')
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Connah's Quay
3-0
Aberystwyth
Franklin (7'), Wilde (90', 90+4')
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Aberystwyth
2-1
Connah's Quay
Arnison (54'), Thorn (82')
Litchfield (67' og.)
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Allen (76')
Thorn (61')
Curran (39')
Eardley (90+2')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Aberystwyth
0-1
Connah's Quay

Owen (45'), Veale (52'), Franklin (57'), Rimmer (87')
Mendes (31')
Mendes (52'), Byrne (81'), Horan (87'), Poole (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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