Connah's Quay

4 - 0

Aberystwyth

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.