Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
6 - 2
Connah's Quay

Cieslewicz (13', 37'), McManus (45+3', 53'), Williams (55'), Smith (89')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Edwards (2'), Davies (35')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

Welsh Premier League

Last Game: Swift Hesperange 3-2 New Saints
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Welsh Premier League

Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-2 KA
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 9.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
75.73% ( 4.02)	14.81% ( -1.62)	9.46% ( -2.4)

Both teams to score 52.36% (

-2.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.15% (

0.69)

32.85% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.45% (

0.79)

54.56% (

-0.78)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.78% (

7.22% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.8% (

2.55)

26.2% (

-2.55)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.43% (

-3.85)

43.57% (

3.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.23% (

-3.38)

79.77% (

3.38)

Score Analysis

The New Saints 75.72%

Connah's Quay Nomads 9.46%

Draw 14.81%

The New Saints	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.68) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( 1.03) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.95) 4-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.3) 5-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.33) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.34) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.18) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 75.72%	1-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.66) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.59) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.81%	1-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.62) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.3) Other @ 1.87% Total : 9.46%