FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 12pm UK

Mariners Park

South Shields
0 - 2
Forest Green

Heaney (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wickham (28', 90+6')
Bernard (78'), Cargill (80'), Bunker (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between South Shields and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Shields

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 South Shields
Saturday, November 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: South Shields 0-2 Forest Green Rovers

South Shields were excellent against Scunthorpe in the last round of the competition, but we are finding it difficult to back the home side here. Forest Green will have superior quality all over the field, and we are expecting the League One side to progress to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for South Shields had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-3 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a South Shields win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Forest Green Rovers.

Result
South Shields	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
17.98%	18.55%	63.47%

Both teams to score 63.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.81%

30.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.58%

51.42%

South Shields Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27%

29.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21%

65.79%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.85%

9.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.98%

31.02%

Score Analysis

South Shields 17.98%

Forest Green Rovers 63.47%

Draw 18.55%

South Shields	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 4.79% 1-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.31% 2-0 @ 2% 3-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.64% Total : 17.98%	1-1 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 2.72% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.55%	1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 7.52% 0-1 @ 6.5% 0-3 @ 6.2% 2-3 @ 4.56% 1-4 @ 4.5% 0-4 @ 3.71% 2-4 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.15% 0-5 @ 1.77% 2-5 @ 1.31% 3-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.2% Total : 63.47%