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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Valley
Bolton logo

Charlton
1 - 2
Bolton

Morgan (46')
Bonne (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morley (4'), Charles (68')
Sheehan (83'), Sheehan (84'), Lee (72'), Trafford (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Barnsley
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton have won only one of their last four away games, and we think that they will be held to a draw by a Charlton side who are unbeaten in four home matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
32.28% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 25.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 42.01% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (0.048000000000002 0.05)49.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.042000000000002 0.04)71.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (0.048000000000002 0.05)28.98% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (0.058 0.06)64.87% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)57.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 32.28%
    Bolton Wanderers 42.01%
    Draw 25.72%
Charlton AthleticDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28%
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.01%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Bolton
3-1
Charlton
Bradley (9'), Lee (41'), Johnston (76')
Iredale (65'), Jones (79')
Fraser (4')
Lavelle (75')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Bolton
2-1
Charlton
Charles (10'), Aimson (83')
Jones (33'), John (55'), Bakayoko (90+5')
Aneke (76')
Washington (40'), Gilbey (42'), Pearce (53'), Dobson (67')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Charlton
1-4
Bolton
Davison (12')
Lavelle (20'), Davison (31')
Afolayan (43'), Lee (73', 81'), Sarcevic (90+1')
Jones (90'), Santos (90+8')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Charlton
Clough (13')
Beevers (35'), Vela (85')
Bauer (23'), Byrne (45')
Forster-Caskey (43'), Watt (52')
Page (11')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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