Bolton
3 - 2
Port Vale

Doyle (28'), Delfouneso (54'), Afolayan (77')
Delfouneso (67'), Santos (75'), Baptiste (81'), Brockbank (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Conlon (35'), Amoo (43')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Port Vale
40.62%	26.07%	33.3%

Both teams to score 53.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.12%

50.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.24%

72.75%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29%

24.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75%

59.25%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08%

28.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.2%

64.79%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 40.62%

Port Vale 33.3%

Draw 26.07%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.98% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.62%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.3%