Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.