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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
43.48% | 27.09% | 29.43% |
Both teams to score 48.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.85% | 56.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.79% | 77.21% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% | 25.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.5% | 60.5% |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.68% | 34.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% | 71.02% |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.48% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |