Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.