Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.