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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
MK Dons

Accrington
0 - 1
MK Dons


Nottingham (39'), Tharme (45+1'), Leigh (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaikai (8')
Lewington (47'), Watson (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-0 MK Dons

MK Dons and Accrington Stanley are very evenly-matched, and so it is very difficult to pick a winner in Saturday's game. As such, we expect a very cagey match, akin to the encounter earlier this season, with the most likely result being a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
36.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.5% (0.0020000000000024 0) 36.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.28% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)27.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)63.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.0039999999999907 0)27.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)62.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 36.67%
    MK Dons 36.83%
    Draw 26.49%
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.83%

How you voted: Accrington vs MK Dons

Accrington Stanley
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
MK Dons
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Accrington
Robson (30')
Johnson (61'), Lawrence (70')
McConville (78' pen.)
Astley (10'), Clark (43'), Hamilton (60'), McConville (68')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Accrington
Eisa (45'), O'Riley (85')
Darling (69'), Lewington (73'), Harvie (81'), Boateng (87')

Butcher (54'), Pell (60')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
3-2
Accrington
Jerome (6', 55'), O'Riley (90+2')
Charles (57'), Surman (62' og.)
Smyth (45'), Burgess (47'), Barclay (49'), Rodgers (67'), Morgan (80')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Accrington
2-1
MK Dons
Charles (8', 62')
Pritchard (43')
Morris (53')
Gladwin (20'), Kasumu (27'), Sorinola (49'), Harvie (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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