Bristol Rovers2 - 3Bolton
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers
While Bolton endured a blip versus Accrington, they have ended the season strongly, which is in sharp contrast to their hosts. With that in mind, we expect the visitors to battle their way to victory in the South West. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
25.69% ( -0.03) | 24.68% ( 0.12) | 49.62% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( -0.54) | 48.85% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( -0.49) | 70.95% ( 0.49) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( -0.32) | 33.39% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.98% ( -0.35) | 70.01% ( 0.35) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( -0.25) | 19.71% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.27% ( -0.41) | 51.72% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.69% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 49.61% |
