League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 1
Plymouth

Neill (4'), Broadhead (13')
Winchester (45+1'), Stewart (54'), Wright (77'), O'Brien (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Scarr (64')
Edwards (22'), Houghton (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sunderland and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

With only two points separating the sides in the table, this is likely to be a closely-fought contest, and although Sunderland are formidable at home, we think that Plymouth may snatch a point from the encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
62.97%	21.35%	15.68%

Both teams to score 48.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.46%

47.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.25%

69.75%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52%

14.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.54%

42.46%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.94%

43.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.66%

79.34%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 62.96%

Plymouth Argyle 15.68%

Draw 21.35%

Sunderland	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 6.32% 4-0 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.66% 5-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.45% Total : 62.96%	1-1 @ 10.15% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.35%	0-1 @ 5.25% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.58% Total : 15.68%