Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.