MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:59:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Stoke logo

Luton
2 - 1
Stoke

Morris (24'), Adebayo (90')
Chong (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cannon (6')
Burger (85'), Koumas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 7 at 3.15pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Stoke City

 Neither side is having a strong season so far, with both struggling in recent weeks, but with Luton having the home advantage, where they have lost just one of their last eight matches, we expect a victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawStoke City
42.68% (0.562 0.56) 25.91% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 31.41% (-0.636 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.495 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (-0.527 -0.53)50.76% (0.528 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.466 -0.47)72.66% (0.467 0.47)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (0.067 0.07)57.7% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (-0.69 -0.69)30.12% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (-0.837 -0.84)66.26% (0.83799999999999 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.68%
    Stoke City 31.41%
    Draw 25.9%
Luton TownDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.68%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Stoke

Luton Town
70.4%
Draw
11.1%
Stoke City
18.5%
54
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
1-0
Stoke
Ruddock (6')
> Preview
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
2-0
Luton
Powell (3'), Lockyer (13' og.)
> Preview
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-2
Luton
Baker (90+2')
Powell (80')
Hylton (56'), Jerome (82')
Campbell (31'), Cornick (52'), Lockyer (80'), Hylton (82'), Burke (90+1'), Adebayo (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Luton
0-1
Stoke

Campbell (71')
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Luton
Powell (20', 63'), Fletcher (78')
Brown (8')

Collins (31'), Rea (47')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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