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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Cambuur |
38.24% | 25.03% | 36.73% |
Both teams to score 57.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.21% | 45.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% | 68.1% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.33% | 23.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.23% | 57.77% |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% | 24.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.08% | 58.92% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Cambuur |
2-1 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-1 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |