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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
FC Volendam

Ajax
1 - 1
Volendam

Kudus (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mirani (59')
Stankovic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Ajax
Sunday, January 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Volendam
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-1 FC Volendam

Ajax will view Thursday's fixture as a great opportunity to return to winning ways and they should be regarded as firm favourites to claim maximum points. Volendam caused problems for Ajax in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but they ultimately ended up on the losing side and we expect the same outcome at the Amsterdam ArenA. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.85%) and 4-0 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Volendam
84.59% (0.84099999999999 0.84) 9.44% (-0.4731 -0.47) 5.97% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 59.91% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.94% (1.067 1.07)17.06% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.22% (1.593 1.59)33.78% (-1.591 -1.59)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.18% (0.271 0.27)2.82% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.12% (0.947 0.95)12.88% (-0.946 -0.95)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (0.106 0.11)38.36% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.89% (0.097999999999999 0.1)75.11% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 84.59%
    FC Volendam 5.97%
    Draw 9.44%
AjaxDrawFC Volendam
3-0 @ 8.19% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.85% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 7.31% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 7% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.264 -0.26)
5-0 @ 5.22% (0.181 0.18)
5-1 @ 5% (0.188 0.19)
1-0 @ 3.86% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 3.36% (0.051 0.05)
6-0 @ 3.1% (0.185 0.19)
6-1 @ 2.97% (0.184 0.18)
5-2 @ 2.4% (0.097 0.1)
7-0 @ 1.58% (0.132 0.13)
7-1 @ 1.52% (0.13 0.13)
6-2 @ 1.42% (0.092 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 5.51%
Total : 84.59%
1-1 @ 3.7% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.08% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 9.44%
1-2 @ 1.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-1 @ 1.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 5.97%

How you voted: Ajax vs Volendam

Ajax
80.6%
Draw
8.6%
FC Volendam
10.8%
93
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2022 11am
Ajax
5-4
Volendam
Hato (56'), Conceicao (58', 69'), Brobbey (65', 89')
Oristanio (7'), Antonioli (46', 74'), Plat (48')
Oct 8, 2022 3.30pm
Volendam
2-4
Ajax
Zeefuik (74'), Eiting (86')
Tadic (17' pen.), Bassey (39'), Brobbey (64'), Klaassen (90+5')
Conceicao (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV66002341918
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
4FC Twente6321125711
5Feyenoord523011569
6Groningen623110739
7Sparta RotterdamSparta62317619
8Heracles723269-39
9Willem II622210738
10Ajax42118357
11Go Ahead Eagles621359-47
12Heerenveen7214916-77
13NECNijmegen620467-16
14Fortuna SittardSittard6204612-66
15NAC BredaNAC Breda6204513-86
16PEC Zwolle6114610-44
17Almere CityAlmere City6024217-152
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk6006317-140


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