Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Shakhtar
1 - 1
Feyenoord

(Feyenoord win 8-2 on aggregate)

Rakitskiy (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bullaude (88')
Wieffer (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 0-7 Shakhtar
Sunday, March 5 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Feyenoord

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, March 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Feyenoord

Having suffered just three defeats all season, Feyenoord are favoured to advance to the quarter-finals, but Shakhtar Donetsk will not go down without a fight. Feyenoord may have to wait until the second leg at De Kuip to assert their dominance on the contest, as a resilient Shakhtar outfit are expected to frustrate Slot's men on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 0-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Feyenoord
19.26% ( 0.02)	20.61% ( 0.02)	60.13% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 58.55% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.92% (

-0.07)

38.07% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.65% (

-0.08)

60.34% (

0.07)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.78% (

-0.02)

33.21% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.17% (

-0.02)

69.82% (

0.02)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67% (

-0.04)

12.32% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.87% (

-0.07)

38.12% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 19.26%

Feyenoord 60.13%

Draw 20.61%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 5.21% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 19.26%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.61%	1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 60.13%