Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

UPC-Arena

Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Feyenoord

Kiteishvili (90+3')
Ljubic (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maduro (70'), Walemark (80'), Dilrosun (83'), Holmgren Pedersen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Sturm Graz
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Feyenoord

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Feyenoord

Both teams are expected to be fully up for this one, so we are anticipating a keenly-contested and end to end affair. That said, we just about fancy the visitors to see off the threat of their hosts and emerge victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Feyenoord
41.26% ( 0.07)	22.93% ( 0)	35.81% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 65.38% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.3% (

-0.01)

35.7% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.23% (

-0.01)

57.77% (

0.01)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11% (

0.03)

17.89% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.32% (

0.05)

48.68% (

-0.05)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

-0.04)

20.37% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.22% (

-0.06)

52.78% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 41.26%

Feyenoord 35.81%

Draw 22.93%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 41.26%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.81%