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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
35.76% ( -0.66) | 24.18% ( 0.15) | 40.06% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.12% ( -0.78) | 41.88% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.71% ( -0.79) | 64.29% ( 0.79) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.79% ( -0.71) | 23.21% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.89% ( -1.05) | 57.11% ( 1.05) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( -0.09) | 21.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.17% ( -0.15) | 53.83% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |