Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
