There is a load of experience on both sides, but the Colombians seem to be in better form at the moment, while Mexico have not looked comfortable or creative when on the ball in recent outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Colombia
42.86% ( -0.03)	25.34% ( 0)	31.8% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

48.17% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67% (

70.33% (

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59% (

-0.01)

22.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.08% (

-0.02)

55.93% (

0.03)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

0.02)

28.56% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.65% (

0.03)

64.35% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Mexico 42.87%

Colombia 31.8%

Draw 25.33%

Mexico	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.87%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.8%