Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Mar 26, 2021 at 8.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
4 - 1
Western Sydney

Noone (33', 55'), Nabbout (52'), MacLaren (90+2')
Good (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ibini-Isei (21')
Mutch (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
50.2%	22.43%	27.36%

Both teams to score 62.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.65%

37.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.44%

59.55%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.85%

15.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.25%

43.74%

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92%

26.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87%

61.12%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 50.2%

Western Sydney Wanderers 27.36%

Draw 22.43%

Melbourne City	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.46% 1-0 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 4% 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.05% Total : 50.2%	1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.43%	1-2 @ 6.74% 0-1 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 1.6% 1-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.36%