Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.