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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
May 23, 2021 at 9.10am UK
Docklands Stadium
Adelaide United

Victory
0 - 1
Adelaide United


Ryan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goodwin (39')
Juande (51'), Cavallo (58'), Halloran (74'), Lopez (90'), Goodwin (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawAdelaide United
31.62%23.09%45.29%
Both teams to score 63.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.17%37.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.92%60.08%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38%23.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29%57.71%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87%17.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.65%47.35%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 31.62%
    Adelaide United 45.29%
    Draw 23.09%
Melbourne VictoryDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.43%
1-0 @ 5.84%
2-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.62%
1-1 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-1 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 5.35%
2-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.7%
1-4 @ 2.36%
2-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.63%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 45.29%

How you voted: Victory vs Adelaide United

Melbourne Victory
46.2%
Draw
15.4%
Adelaide United
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 8.10am
Gameweek 12
Victory
1-3
Adelaide United
Brimmer (28')
Brimmer (23'), Anderson (47'), Roux (54'), Broxham (68')
Mauk (35', 77'), Yengi (62')
Lopez (20')
Jan 23, 2021 8.40am
Gameweek 2
Adelaide United
1-0
Victory
Toure (53')
Smith (63'), Juric (79'), D'Arrigo (89')

Brimmer (34'), Ryan (40'), Traore (47'), Kruse (82'), Broxham (83')
Feb 29, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 21
Victory
2-1
Adelaide United
Rojas (57'), Nabbout (90')
Toivonen (14'), Thomas (33'), Broxham (51')
Fardal Opseth (7')
Jan 17, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 15
Adelaide United
1-0
Victory
Halloran (32')
McGree (28')

Hope (83'), Donachie (93')
Nov 23, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 7
Adelaide United
3-1
Victory
McGree (23', 68'), Basha (63' og.)
Strain (85')
Toivonen (61')
Toivonen (4')
rhs 2.0
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