Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barwell win with a probability of 63.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Kidsgrove Athletic had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Kidsgrove Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barwell would win this match.