Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Southport had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.